The 5A boys playoff projection uses the same six criteria that the NMAA uses when seeding the bracket (Overall record, district regular season finish, head-to-head, wins vs. district champs regardless of classification, coaches input and the MaxPreps rankings). Another new wrinkle put in by the NMAA this year is that district opponents can match up in the first round.
As for district standings, the seeding is according to the current placing as if the season ended today and doesn’t projected games that still remain.
1. Centennial (19-4, 7-0 3-5A): The Hawks are atop both the coaches’ and MaxPreps rankings. They could be the best team in the entire state with wins over 6A No. 1 Hobbs and No. 2 Cleveland
16. Los Lunas (9-13, 4-3 3-5A): The Tigers are in right now thanks to a victory over Albuquerque Academy. At 9-13 overall, any slip ups the rest of the way could knock them out.
8. Bernalillo (15-9, 4-2 2-5A): Both Bernalillo and Del Norte sit in a tie for second in 2-5A. The Spartans get the No. 8 seed thanks to a point differential tiebreaker that puts them ahead of the Knights in the district standings.
9. Del Norte (15-7, 4-2 2-5A): The Knights have the only win against 2-5A leader Espanola Valley in district play.
5. Espanola Valley (17-6, 4-1 2-5A): The Sundevils are the leaders in 2-5A and the only team to beat Gallup this season. They only have one loss to a 5A team this year (Del Norte).
12. Artesia (11-12, 1-2 4-5A): Wins over Belen and Lovington have the Bulldogs in the No. 12 spot.
4. St. Pius X (18-3, 3-0 4-5A): The Sartans have a two-game lead in 4-5A at the midway point of the season and should have no problem wrapping up that district.
13. Belen (12-9, 5-2 3-5A): The Eagles have a good overall record compared to some teams above them, but its best 5A victory is against Academy.
6. Grants (14-8, 1-2 5-5A): The Pirates are part of a three-way tie for second place in 5-5A after being upset by Academy. Grants owns the point differential tiebreaker against the Chargers and Moriarty allowing it to keep its home game in the first round. Wins over Farmington and Bernalillo keep them this high in the bracket.
11. Goddard (12-11, 2-1 4-5A): The Rockets are in second in 4-5A, but didn’t beat a 5A playoff team outside of district, losing to Farmington and Piedra Vista.
3. Roswell (18-3, 3-0 4-5A): The Coyotes are the only 5A team to beat No. 1 Centennial. They only beat Goddard by one point in its district opener though and need one more win over the Rockets to lock up the 4-5A title.
14. Lovington: (11-11, 0-3 4-5A): The Wildcats are in the bracket for now, but after being swept by its 4-5A foes in the first part of the schedule, Lovington will need to find some wins in district play to remain part of the playoffs.
7. Farmington (16-7, 4-1 1-5A): The Scorpions have victories over Piedra Vista and Goddard to keep them in position to host a first round game. They will need to take at least second place in 1-5A in order to remain a top eight seed.
10. Piedra Vista (11-12, 3-2 1-5A): The Panthers beat Artesia and Goddard during the non-district schedule to keep them in the top 10.
2. Gallup (21-1, 4-0 1-5A): The Bengals are on a 21-game winning streak since losing its opener. The team owns nine wins over projected 5A playoff teams, more than any other school.
15. Capital (11-13, 2-4 2-5A): The Jaguars beat Academy to get in the bracket and have a better overall record than Los Lunas coupled with three wins against 4A district leaders to keep them from being No. 16.
Last Team Out
Albuquerque Academy (8-13, 1-2 5-5A): The Chargers are part of a three-way tie with Grants and Moriarty for second place in 5-5A. Head-to-head wins against PV, Bernalillo and Grants keep them in the playoff picture, but losses to No. 15 Capital and No. 16 Los Lunas have them out of the bracket at the moment.
Out of at-large consideration (need to win district tournament to make playoffs): Santa Teresa, Valencia, Aztec, Miyamura, Moriarty, Los Alamos, Chaparral.